Judgmental

Technolog.

Forecasting

Time Series

Moving
Average

Exponent.
Smooth.

Decompo-sitional

Box-Jenkins

Technique #

1,2

3,4

5

6

7

8

Stage in Life-Cycle

early

early

growth

growth

early maturity

early maturity

Forecast Horizon

Long Term

Long Term

Medium Term

Medium Term

Medium Term

Medium Term

Data Requirement

few

few

many

many

Pattern of Data Recognized

Horizontal

X

X

X

Trend

weak

weak

X

Seasonal

weak

weak

X

Cyclical

X

Explanatory

Y

 

 Go to Table 2