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Topic: Strategy
Market Dynamics / To Complex Need Help!
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My Company deals in Edible Oils. 2 years ago government imposed the following: subsidy scheme, price ceiling and sales quota restrictions. Basically, subsidies was for the price ceiling limitation on us and the sales quota was to stop any black market selling in neighboring countries as not to take advantage of the subsidies scheme.
At one point this year the price of edible oil was 2 to 1, for example we would sell it at 1000 USD to consumer and it actually cost us 2000 USD, therefore government would pay us the difference. The market can sustain 15,000 Metric ton a month!!!! However now the difference is more like additional 20 cents to the dollar per metric ton.
My questions is: What strategy should I take, I cannot buy in the future or hedge as prices are fluctuating every 2 days +/- 20 USD. Furthermore, we have no holding area for more then 1 month of supplies.
For over a year, I have not injected any marketing $ because, we sell out on pre-orders for the whole month of quota in the first / second week of the month. Leaving us to sit and stare at the walls for the last 2 weeks. So marketing leads to consumer demand that I cannot fulfill, my return is capped by the government, therefore what i spend for marketing dollars does not translate into increase sales down the road.
HOWEVER....COULD I BE DOING SOMETHING MORE, I AM WORRIED..AM I BEING REACTIVE RATHER THEN PROACTIVE.
What steps should I have prepared once government eases restrictions, what should I NOT BE DOING..or doing less of.
LOOKING FORWARD TO YOUR REPLY!
Nash